December 6, 2021

The Japan Herald

About Japan, Global Green Energy and Space Market

The adoption of electric vehicles is not fast enough to achieve climate goals

2 min read

Emissions from the worldwide transportation sector are anticipated to rise until 2050 unless world leaders implement legal and regulatory adjustments, according to research released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration. It shows that under existing policies, the US and the rest of the world will fail to fulfill global emission reduction goals that experts say are required to mitigate the worst impact of climate change. Transportation is the single largest source of greenhouse gases in the US, accounting for almost a fourth of world emissions.

While the report predicted that electric vehicles would account for a significant portion of sales in regions such as Europe and Chinamidcentury—roughly 80%—EVs would only account for about 30% of vehicles on the streets far cry from what researchers and the EPA have said is required to avoid catastrophic global warming.

Currently, electric vehicles account for 5% of global automobile sales. According to research released this summer by the International Energy Agency, that percentage would need to rise to 60% by 2030, and regular gasoline and diesel cars would have to be phased out by 2035. (Climatewire, May 18).

According to the research, the estimated increase in transportation emissions is primarily due to expected population expansion and rising energy use in Africa and portions of Asia. The report puts countries into two categories based on whether or not they are part of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). As per Michael Dwyer, an EIA expert, the population of non-OECD countries is expanding at three times the pace of member countries. “As a result, the population is driving up how many people who wish to travel,” he explained.

Furthermore, he stated that as their earnings rise, many of those people are migrating from public transportation choices such as buses and trains to privately owned vehicles and aircraft. “As a result, there are more individuals who need to travel, and greater of those people are going in less efficient modes,” Dwyer explained. According to separate EIA figures, electric vehicles are expected to make up around 12% of the fleet in the United States by 2050. Before President Biden tightened pollution rules and states resumed zero-emission vehicle mandates, that figure was estimated in September 2020.

Nonetheless, 12 percent falls well short of Biden’s goal of cutting emissions from the transportation industry by 2050. Dwyer further stated that the automobile regulation landscape has remained relatively unchanged since September 2020. “In terms of light-duty automobiles in the United States, there is virtually little difference,” he stated. “The policies are nearly identical.”

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